Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.000222 0.000249 0.000277 0.000309 0.000345 0.000384 0.000429
2025-02-09 0.000187 0.000222 0.000263 0.000313 0.000372 0.000441 0.000526
2025-02-16 0.000160 0.000202 0.000252 0.000316 0.000397 0.000496 0.000625
2025-02-23 0.000138 0.000183 0.000239 0.000315 0.000416 0.000544 0.000720
2025-03-02 0.000120 0.000165 0.000225 0.000310 0.000426 0.000582 0.000806
2025-03-09 0.000106 0.000152 0.000215 0.000308 0.000441 0.000626 0.000902
2025-03-16 0.000095 0.000142 0.000208 0.000308 0.000458 0.000673 0.001007
2025-03-23 0.000086 0.000133 0.000202 0.000309 0.000475 0.000722 0.001118
2025-03-30 0.000078 0.000124 0.000194 0.000307 0.000487 0.000763 0.001220
2025-04-06 0.000072 0.000118 0.000190 0.000309 0.000505 0.000814 0.001342
2025-04-13 0.000067 0.000112 0.000185 0.000310 0.000521 0.000863 0.001463
2025-04-20 0.000061 0.000105 0.000178 0.000306 0.000528 0.000898 0.001565
2025-04-27 0.000058 0.000104 0.000180 0.000319 0.000566 0.000990 0.001775
2025-05-04 0.000055 0.000100 0.000178 0.000324 0.000590 0.001059 0.001953
2025-05-11 0.000051 0.000096 0.000175 0.000327 0.000612 0.001127 0.002136
2025-05-18 0.000047 0.000091 0.000170 0.000326 0.000626 0.001182 0.002299
2025-05-25 0.000043 0.000085 0.000163 0.000321 0.000631 0.001219 0.002432
2025-06-01 0.000040 0.000081 0.000159 0.000319 0.000642 0.001271 0.002598
2025-06-08 0.000038 0.000077 0.000155 0.000319 0.000658 0.001331 0.002786
2025-06-15 0.000035 0.000074 0.000153 0.000320 0.000675 0.001397 0.002992
2025-06-22 0.000033 0.000071 0.000148 0.000318 0.000685 0.001448 0.003172
2025-06-29 0.000031 0.000068 0.000146 0.000320 0.000705 0.001520 0.003403
2025-07-06 0.000029 0.000066 0.000144 0.000321 0.000721 0.001587 0.003630